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Saturday, January 3, 2009

More Monthly Stock Market Predictions for 2009!

Ok, more predictions for 2009 stock markets, not based on Feng Shui, but Statistics.

Like all statistical predictions, expect 50% of them to be right and the other 50% wrong! *grin* (personally, I think the odds are better than 50/50).

These statistics are for the US Dow Jones Market.

Summary of Prediction

Good months for 2009: Jan, Apr, Jun, Jul Aug, Oct.

Bad months for 2009: May, Sep.

Neutral months for 2009: Feb, Mar, Nov, Dec.




Basis
http://seekingalpha.com/article/112984-january-expect-gains

The rationale is that 2008 was such a bad year, that the author went back to history to look at what happens to the Dow the following year after a really "bad" year (bad defined as market having lost more than 20% prior). Data is since 1900. Read the article for more.

1 comment:

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